Gross Domestic Persuasion

The brainwashing of America is just about complete, and it will soon be time to rinse and repeat. The latest load of suds to be applied to the task is the announcement that the gross domestic product  — the value of all the goods and services produced in the country — grew at a rate of 4.1% during the second quarter of this year. The Industrial Hallelujah Chorus is in full-throated harmony, with every politician and pundit in the land agreeing that this is a very good thing, and competing with each other to invent ever-more-effusive ways to describe the economy — “booming” is just about everybody’s favorite.

The Tweeter in Chief has taken more than 100 per cent credit (as only he can do) for what he described as “amazing,” “historic” numbers. They’re not amazing, they’re not historic, and they’re not really numbers — to call them numbers suggests that they are data, and they are not. What was released Friday was the first guesstimate of a sampling of Wall Street economists of what they thought the economy might have done in the second quarter. Their guesstimates were then averaged, seasonally adjusted, tweaked for inflation, annualized, pasteurized, homogenized, whipped, shaped and polished until the magic number materialized. Continue reading

Death Is Not the Worst Thing

Our collapsing civilization has been shedding its core beliefs by the dozens for decades now. Concepts such as civic duty, ethical behavior, the greater good, compassion and selflessness litter our wake through history like discarded snake skins cast off as we swelled up from our relentless pursuit of money, luxury and power. Oddly, while we seem eager to shed these essential qualities — traits that made us prosperous in the first place — we still cling to, and loudly profess, other beliefs that assure our downfall.

These articles of faith cut across party lines, ideological differences, racial and economic strata. Among them the most deeply revered, and increasingly the most problematic, is the notion of the sanctity of life. Continue reading

Migration is the Unstoppable Force: No Country is Immovable

Tell you what — let’s convene a Blue Ribbon commission to make recommendations about what to plan on doing when the tsunami gets here. All in favor say aye.

Pity for a nanosecond the unfortunate Donald Trump, who has just been run over by migration, something that is spreading across the world like a vast tsunami, threatening to overwash entire countries. It doesn’t really matter that, because he neither reads nor thinks, he has no clue what it was that just flattened him like a possum on an Alabama Interstate (“Why a Rogue President Was Forced to Back Down on Family Separation,” — The New Yorker); because few people in the world, including some very smart people, seem to know what to do about it.

Spoiler alert: It’s too late to do anything about it. Children are going to be crying at the borders for a very long time. Continue reading

It Makes No Difference to the Indifferents

And these days, every vote not counted, counts.

Ask any candidate for public office to explain a poll that finds 98 percent of the electorate despises him, and this will be his answer: “The only poll that matters is taken on election day.” Self-serving? Yes. Dodging the question? Sure. Putting lipstick on a pig? Uh-huh. The thing is, though, it is absolutely true.

Polls don’t tell us much of anything. Many of them have small samples, or self-selected samples (as in Internet polls), or loaded questions, and actually subtract from the sum total of human knowledge. The ones that are well done offer us a snapshot of opinions held when the poll was taken, and that almost certainly have changed by the time we hear about the poll.

But polls are the junk food of journalists — no nutrition, but tasty, with no work required. Thus every day we are told what polls have to say about the economy, international diplomacy, and whether brain surgery should be conducted with stainless steel, or ceramic, scalpels. In that last category, we have recently been informed that Robert Mueller’s approval rating among the American populace has dropped. The assumption apparently is that only popular prosecutors get convictions. Continue reading

The Fog of (the New Cold) War

When we find ourselves surrounded by thick fog that obscures familiar landmarks and directional signs, we need help to get home, or to the pub, whichever comes first. It happened to me in the mountains once, and I was glad for the company of my faithful dog, who promptly abandoned me. I found him home by the fire when I eventually made it there.

Natural fog is one thing, it comes and goes, but the industrial smokescreens being laid down these days by our politicians and disinformation sources have become chronic. We need either a very good dog, or some other tool, in order to navigate them. In these cases, logic, as applied by an experienced critical mind, is often the equivalent of a functioning GPS unit in the wilderness. It might not get you home, but it can show you where you are.

A recent case in point was the alleged attack on a retired spy and his daughter in Salisbury, England, two months ago. Sergei Skripal and his daughter Yulia were found unconscious on a park bench in the center of Salisbury. The smoke generated around the incident was the equivalent of a continental forest fire, it could be seen from space, yet much of it can be dispersed by elementary logic. Continue reading

The Empire Strikes Fat

Seems we are going to have to think outside the box to keep our fighting forces up to strength.

It does not take a particularly jaundiced eye to see that the American Empire is foundering. And now, to the long and growing list of wheels coming off the juggernaut, comes a new and startling piece of evidence of the decline and fall, one that is a profound shock to those swaddled most deeply in the myths of American exceptionalism.

Let’s first review, briefly, the last few years  in the life of the Empire That Couldn’t Shoot Straight, setting aside the fact that it has started an endless progression of wars that it has been unable to win or, in many cases, end. This has in no way hampered the Empire’s (illogically named) defense budget — it spends twice as much on war, each year, as its two principal adversaries, Russia and China, combined. With the result that: Continue reading

The Russians Are Not Coming

Although Hillary and Putin both like the idea conveyed by this illustration, it is not the way it happened. By a long shot.

Turns out it is possible to overstate the impact the Russians had on our last presidential election. According to the latest Mueller indictments, the Russian government spent as much as $1.25 million dollars a month to influence the 2016 elections. Imagine! If they had kept that up for only 12 and a half years, they would have almost matched what Jeb Bush spent before dropping out of the primary races in February. After spending $150 million, Jeb had managed to win the support of most, but not all, of his extended family. His mother remained on the fence. Continue reading

The Freedom Train is Leaving

Refugees from Syria on a freedom train to somewhere. Migrants like this all over the world are leaving countries where there is no hope of living a decent life, and they’ve added a new country to the list of those to be shunned. (Photo by electronicintifada.net)

They come all day, starting before full daylight. They come to the end of the road in taxis, or in beat up old cars driven by friends. They come alone sometimes, but usually in pairs or in families, often families with small children. When their transport has left, they gather their suitcases and cardboard boxes and struggle into the woods. Their goal is a shallow gully not far down the well-trodden path. With many a fearful glance behind them, looking for those who are out to intercept them, they reach the gully.

On the other side stands a uniformed police officer. He greets them politely. He tells them that they are about to cross an international border, and by so doing will have broken the law, and will be taken into custody. That is their plan. Being arrested on the other side is far preferable to the increasing levels of harassment, discrimination, forced deportation and overt bigotry they are experiencing on this side. And so they cross, relieved to be in a kinder country, and willingly submit themselves to its bureaucracy.

Here’s the kicker: these refugees are running away from the United States of America, seeking safety and a better future in Canada. Continue reading

Advice to a Young Friend Running for Congress

As long as you’re running for Congress you will be spending six hours a day on your smartphone, dialing for dollars. Did they tell you that in the recruiting brochure?

First of all, I’m glad you’re doing it. You’re young, energetic and smart, and seem to have a moral compass that can still find true north, so you probably won’t do very much harm to anybody. At first. I’m glad you’re running as a Democrat, because the wind is at your back this year. But I have to tell you — you, and your party, are blowing it. Hugely.

You’re doing all the right things that all the right people tell you to do. You’re spending six hours a day and more on the phone, begging strangers for money, answering their inevitable question: “Where do you stand on (fill in the special-interest blank)?” Then with the little time you have left, you’re spending the money on consultants: fundraising consultants, social-media consultants, data-analysis consultants, communication consultants,  campaign-management consultants, consultant consultants. And after all the meetings you need to have with them, you rarely get a chance to go to a public event. Continue reading

How to Identify a “Shithole” Country

If you look around your country and see a lot of these, that would be one clue. But there are others.

It’s important in national and international affairs that the terms of statecraft be precisely defined. When making policy and alliances, the parties must at all times be rigorously clear about what is meant by such labels as “nuclear power,” “developing country,” and the like. Now, a new term of art just introduced by the President of the United States, “shithole country,” begs a proper definition. Let us fix that for ya. Here is how you tell whether a country qualifies for the new designation.

Exhibit One — Airports. If you have an airport, named for one of your most popular presidents, located just outside your largest city, in which earlier this month:

Then you might be living in one of those countries the President was talking about. Continue reading